President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) remain technically tied, at the limit of the margin of error, in a possible second round of the presidential elections, according to a BTG/Nexus survey released this Monday, 27. The PT member, however, appears numerically ahead.
In the 2nd round, Lula has 47% and Flávio Bolsonaro 43% and they remain technically tied, says BTG/Nexus
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) and senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL-RJ) remain technically tied, at the limit of the margin of error, in a possible second round of the presidential elections, according to a...
According to the survey, Lula registers 47% of voting intentions, while Flávio reaches 43%. The percentages are the same as the survey released on June 29.
In the previous survey, on July 13, Lula also had 47%, while Flávio Bolsonaro appeared with 44%, one percentage point more than in this Monday's survey. White, null or voters who would not choose any of the candidates total 9%. 1% said they did not know who to vote for.
In a possible dispute against Romeu Zema (Novo) in the second round, the scenario is also a technical draw, considering the margin of error of two percentage points. Lula would have 46% of voting intentions, against 42% for the former governor of Minas Gerais.
White, null or voters who would not choose any of the candidates represent 11%, while 1% did not know how to answer. In the July 13 poll, the president would beat Zema by 47% to 40%.
In the simulation against Ronaldo Caiado (PSD), there is also a technical draw. Lula appears with 45%, while the former governor of Goiás registers 43%. White, null or voters who would not choose either of the two make up 10%, and 2% do not know who to vote for.
In the July 13 survey, Lula led this second round scenario with 47%, against 38% for Caiado.
When the opposition candidate is activist Renan Santos (Missão), Lula would win by 47% to 39%, if the election were held today. White, null voters or voters who would not choose any of the candidates total 13%, while 2% were unable to answer.
In the July 13 survey, Lula also led the simulation, with 49%, against 35% for Renan Santos.
Nexus interviewed 2,004 people aged 16 or over, by telephone, between the 24th and 26th of July. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus, with a 95% confidence level.
The research is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under code BR-01489/2026.
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Source: Noticias ao Minuto - Ultima Hora
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