President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leads the first round of the presidential dispute with 42% of voting intentions, against 33% for senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), according to a BTG/Nexus survey released this Monday, 27.
BTG/Nexus survey: Lula leads 1st round with 42%, Flávio Bolsonaro has 33%
President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) leads the first round of the presidential dispute with 42% of voting intentions, against 33% for senator Flávio Bolsonaro (PL), according to a BTG/Nexus survey released this...
In comparison with the survey published on July 13, the PT member's advantage increased by two percentage points. Lula went from 40% to 42%, while Flávio Bolsonaro fluctuated negatively by one percentage point, from 34% to 33%.
In the survey released on June 29, Lula had an eight percentage point advantage over Flávio Bolsonaro, with 42% against 34%. In the July 13 survey, the difference had fallen to six points. Now, the distance between the two has reached nine percentage points.
The former governor of Goiás Ronaldo Caiado (PSD) appears in third place, with 6%, technically tied with the activist Renan Santos (Missão), who has 5%, and with the former governor of Minas Gerais Romeu Zema (Novo), who has 3%.
Nexus interviewed 2,004 people aged 16 or over, by telephone, between the 24th and 26th of July. The margin of error is two percentage points, plus or minus, with a 95% confidence level. The research is registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under code BR-01489/2026.
In the 2nd round, Lula has 47% and Flávio Bolsonaro 43% and they remain technically tied, says BTG/Nexus
Survey points to Lula's technical tie with Flávio Bolsonaro, Romeu Zema and Ronaldo Caiado in second round simulations. The president appears numerically ahead in the three scenarios and increases his advantage over Renan Santos
Source: Noticias ao Minuto - Politica
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