Datafolha research released this Wednesday (8) shows that Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) are tied with 35% in the first round among voters in the state of São Paulo. In the 2nd round, they are technically tied: Flávio has 46% and Lula, 43%.
The survey was commissioned by the newspaper "Folha de S.Paulo" and interviewed 1,608 voters in São Paulo between the 1st and 3rd of July. The margin of error is plus or minus 2 percentage points. The research is registered with the TSE under numbers SP-01703/2026 and BR-06481/2026.
See the numbers:
1st round for president in SP:
(stimulated and single response)
Datafolha: Lula and Flávio Bolsonaro Tie in SP with 35% Each in the 1st Round
Datafolha research released this Wednesday (8) shows that Lula (PT) and Flávio Bolsonaro (PL) are tied with 35% in the first round among voters in the state of São Paulo. In the 2nd round, they are technically tied:...
Lula (PT): 35%
Flávio Bolsonaro (PL): 35%
Ronaldo Caiado (PSD): 3%
Renan Santos (Mission): 3%
Romeu Zema (New): 3%
Samara Martins (UP): 2%
Aécio Neves (PSDB): 2%
Cabo Daciolo (Mobiliza): 1%
Augusto Cury (Avante) 1%
Joaquim Barbosa (DC): 1%
Rui Costa Pimenta (PCO): 1%
Blank/null/none: 8%
Don't know: 3%
In the 2nd round, Datafolha tested three scenarios, with Lula, Flávio Bolsonaro, Ronaldo Caiado and Romeu Zema. See the numbers:
Lula x Flávio Bolsonaro in SP
Flávio Bolsonaro: 46%
Lula: 43%
Blank/null/none: 10%
Don't know: 1%
Lula x Ronaldo Caiado in SP
Ronaldo Caiado: 43%
Lula: 42%
Blank/null/none: 13%
Don't know/didn't answer: 2%
Lula x Romeu Zema in SP
Romeo Zema: 44%
Lula: 41%
Blank/null/none: 13%
Don't know/didn't answer: 1%
Rejection
Lula: 51%
Flávio Bolsonaro: 43%
Aécio Neves: 23%
Romeu Zema: 13%
Ronaldo Caiado: 13%
Cape Daciolo: 12%
Rui Costa Pimenta: 10%
Renan Santos: 10%
Joaquim Barbosa: 8%
Samara Martins: 8%
Edmilson Costa: 8%
Hertz Dias: 7%
Augusto Cury: 7%
Rejects all/wouldn’t vote for any: 2%
Would vote for anyone/does not reject any: 1%
Don't know: 2%
Source:
G1/Globo
