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Focus: GDP growth projection for 2026 remains at 1.99% for the fourth week in a row

The median of the Focus report's projections for Brazilian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in 2026 remained at 1.99% for the fourth consecutive week. Considering only the 69 estimates updated in the last five business days, which are...

Focus: GDP growth projection for 2026 remains at 1.99% for the fourth week in a row
365 Summary

Market expectations are close to the Central Bank's forecast of 2% growth, according to the Monetary Policy Report (RPM) for the second quarter. For 2027, the Focus median fell from 1.65% to 1.60%.

  • Taking into account only the 69 projections revised in the last five business days, the intermediate estimate fell from 1.70% to 1.50%.
  • The medians for GDP growth in 2028 and 2029 remained at 2%, for the 124th and 71st consecutive weeks, respectively.

Editorial reading aid based only on information contained in this story and its identified source.

The median of the Focus report's projections for Brazilian Gross Domestic Product (GDP) growth in 2026 remained at 1.99% for the fourth consecutive week. Considering only the 69 estimates updated in the last five business days, which are more sensitive to news, the projection rose from 1.96% to 2%.

Market expectations are close to the Central Bank's forecast of 2% growth, according to the Monetary Policy Report (RPM) for the second quarter.

For 2027, the Focus median fell from 1.65% to 1.60%. Taking into account only the 69 projections revised in the last five business days, the intermediate estimate fell from 1.70% to 1.50%.

The medians for GDP growth in 2028 and 2029 remained at 2%, for the 124th and 71st consecutive weeks, respectively.

*Content prepared with the help of Artificial Intelligence, reviewed and edited by the Broadcast editorial team, Grupo Estado’s real-time news system.

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