After recording a strengthening of El Niño in July, the North American climate agency National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) points to a 90% chance of a very strong event occurring between October and December this year.
Climate agency predicts 90% chance of very strong El Niño
After recording a strengthening of El Niño in July, the North American climate agency National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) points to a 90% chance of a very strong event occurring between October and December this year. In...
According to NOAA, there is a 69% chance of a historic event occurring, with warming surpassing episodes recorded since 1950. The agency assesses that with the arrival of a phenomenon of this magnitude, “the chances of experiencing impacts consistent with El Niño are greater, but not guaranteed”.
- The next bulletin will be published on September 10th.
- NOAA monitors surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean.
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In the July 9 bulletin, the agency calculated the probability of a very strong El Niño in the third quarter of this year at 81%.
According to NOAA, there is a 69% chance of a historic event occurring, with warming surpassing episodes recorded since 1950.
The agency assesses that with the arrival of a phenomenon of this magnitude, “the chances of experiencing impacts consistent with El Niño are greater, but not guaranteed”.
The next bulletin will be published on September 10th.
NOAA monitors surface temperatures in the Equatorial Pacific Ocean.
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